What Happened?
Shares of regional banking company Origin Bancorp (NYSE:OBK) fell 3.8% in the afternoon session after the company reported third-quarter financial results that showed a significant miss on profit expectations, even as revenue surpassed forecasts.
The regional bank posted an adjusted loss per share of $0.59, starkly contrasting with analyst estimates of a $0.69 profit. On a positive note, the company's revenue for the quarter was strong, coming in at $109.8 million. This figure was up 21% year-on-year and beat Wall Street's consensus estimate by 7.6%. Despite the strong top-line performance, the substantial earnings miss appeared to be the primary concern for investors, overshadowing the revenue beat and leading to the stock's decline.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Origin Bancorp? Access our full analysis report here.
What Is The Market Telling Us
Origin Bancorp’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 6 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock dropped 3.2% on the news that disclosures from two lenders raised concerns about deteriorating loan quality across the industry. The drop was triggered by specific incidents that have spooked investors. Zions Bancorp announced a $50 million charge-off—a debt the bank doesn't expect to collect—on a single loan. Separately, Western Alliance Bancorp revealed it was dealing with a borrower who had failed to provide proper collateral. These events are compounding existing anxieties about the regional banking sector, which is already under pressure from elevated interest rates and declining commercial real estate values. The news heightened investor concerns that more cracks could appear in borrowers' creditworthiness, potentially leading to increased loan losses and reduced profitability for other banks in the sector.
Origin Bancorp is flat since the beginning of the year, and at $33.27 per share, it is trading 18.7% below its 52-week high of $40.93 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Origin Bancorp’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,357.
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